How many hands do you need to determine Winrate?

What is Winrate in Poker? Winrate in poker measures how fast a player wins. In cash games, it is measured in terms of the number of big blinds made per 100 hands (on average).

What is observed Winrate?

Your observed winrate (which is the expected win rate) The standard deviation of your win rate in 100 hand samples (This is in holdem manager 2 as Std Dev bb per 100 hands) (this is how “extreme” the black spikes are in the image I first linked). your sample size, measured in how many hands you have played.

What is a good poker win rate?

A good poker win rate is anything above 0bb/100. This is because most people lose at poker in the long run. However, in small stakes games like NL2, NL5, NL10, NL25 and NL50 a good poker win rate can vary from 3bb/100 to 30bb/100.

What is poker variance?

Poker variance – also known as poker downswings – is essentially a period bad luck. It’s the difference between how much you expect to win based on your win rate over the long run, and the short term results.

What percentage of poker players win?

So what percentage of poker players are profitable? Out of a sample size of 609 players from my Hold’em Manager database who had played at least 10,000 hands, only about 30% were profitable after the rake. While 18% of players were solid winners, 49% were moderate to significant losers.

What is a good sample size for poker hands?

A good sample is 50k hands obv, but if you lost 20BI after 20k hands than you probably have a (major) leak. 3000 hands is nothing, even the players who beat their stake can be down up to 10BI after 3000 hands.

What should my poker bankroll be?

A general rule for where our bankroll should be is between 10-20 buy-ins. I would never recommend starting out playing on a bankroll of less than 10 buy-ins. If as a player you fall in the average category, I would recommend 15-20 buy-ins.

Are there rules of thumb for continuous outcome setting?

Rules of thumb have also been advocated in the continuous outcome setting, such as two participants per predictor, 27 but these share the same concerns as for 10 EPP. 16

What is the win rate for online poker?

The first thing that I need to point out here though is that I will be assuming that you are a winning poker player throughout this article. That is, you have a win rate that is above zero over a statistically significant sample size (100k hands minimum). More precisely, in online poker we use bb/100 (big blinds won per 100 hands played).

How many people do I need to have a statistically significant sample?

Even if you don’t hold a Ph.D. in statistics, you now have a handy tool to estimate how many people you need to respond to your questionnaire and have a statistically significant data set. We have a lot more knowledge for you. Read our pages to learn more about: sample size, our sample size calculator, and our margin of error calculator.

How is the effective sample size for a continuous outcome determined?

In a development dataset, the effective sample size for a continuous outcome is determined by the total number of study participants.

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